Bitcoin has declined in both the first and second quarters of 2026, marking only the third time in its history that it has opened a year with consecutive quarterly losses. The two prior occurrences, in 2018 and 2022, offer little reassurance for investors, as the second half of each of those years failed to deliver a recovery. Instead, the downward trend continued, deepening annual losses. The historical pattern places the current market in what analysts describe as a precarious position heading into the third quarter. While past performance does not guarantee future outcomes, the parallels to previous bear markets have drawn attention among traders assessing whether 2026 could follow a similar trajectory. The rare setup underscores broader uncertainty surrounding Bitcoin's momentum as it navigates the remainder of the year.
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