The 200-week moving average has long served as a closely watched indicator separating bull and bear market conditions, and Bitcoin has now traded below it. Whether this break proves temporary or lasting may hinge on the trajectory of spot Bitcoin ETF flows. If outflows ease, the level could reclaim its role as support, while continued redemptions risk turning it into overhead resistance that caps any recovery attempts. Traders typically treat sustained moves beneath this average as a structural signal rather than ordinary volatility, making the current position significant for market sentiment. The outcome depends largely on institutional demand reflected through ETF activity, which has become an increasingly important driver of price direction. Market participants are watching to see whether the break holds or reverses in the coming sessions, as the level carries weight for longer-term positioning and risk assessment.


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